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Are the Russians Coming?
By Antonis Loizou, FRICS 7 February 2010
The present results have shown that:
This new market situation has upset the high end mainly beach located properties, which are primarily directed towards the upmarket Russian demand. Now that this interest of +-€2.0 m. demand has been reduced (by approximately 70%) these projects have runned into difficulty. This change of the Russian market budget has also come about through Cyprus becoming more known to the Russian middle/upper middle market, either through the increasing living standards in Russia (thus creating a middle class demand) and as Cyprus becomes more and more known through tourism in Russia, more middle income groups get to know this place. The odd thing about the whole situation, is that Cyprus, cannot cope with tourist demand by providing visas speedily. Russia being such a vast country visa applications and procedures are dealt through mail. A glism of hope appears through the use of the Bank of Cyprus Russia Branches (100 outlets) which has undertaken to assist, as well as the creation of attaché offices in more places in Russia. It is difficult to predict when the worldwide economy recovery will appear, but even if we are to adopt the estimated time of 2011, the last thing that foreign people will consider is buying holiday homes abroad. So in this sense, we do not expect that Cyprus will feel a “good” recovery earlier than 2014 and that said, we do not expect that circumstances will come back to the situation prevailing the year 2007/8. Patience is what is needed, but also the cooperation of the financing banks, since most of these Russian directed projects were financed by the banks at a large proportion of the total cost. Referring to the Banks we say that even if they attempt to foreclose on their mortgages and they take over properties, what are they going to do with them? At least if they show a patience of say 2 years (provided the borrowers cover interest payments), they will still charge interest in their accounts and not show a loss in their balance sheets, when comparing the amount loaned and the present values of a possible forced sale realization. |
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