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Cyprus Property News

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Antonis Loizou & Associates is a professional firm of Chartered Surveyors offering valuation, agency and project management services. The firm was set up in 1980 and is now the largest and most comprehensive professional firm of Chartered Surveyors in Cyprus and the Eastern Mediterranean. The firm employs 75 members of staff across 8 offices in Cyprus, Romania, and Russia and is one of the leading real estate advisors for corporations, finance houses, as well as the local government and individual members of the public.       About us

Issue 10, January 2010
Articles
Questions & Answers
News & Exhibitions

The Orams, Greek public debt and the RICS Cyprus Property Price Index

"when the tide goes out, you get to see who wasn't wearing swimming trunks". Warren Buffett on the recessionIf the first quarter of 2010 is a sign of what lays ahead, then it’s going to be an interesting and exciting year. Global finance markets appear to have stabilised and there is even renewed confidence in the property sector, most notably in the UK housing and commercial markets and even some early positive signs for Eastern Europe.

The ruling on the Orams case is likely to have an impact on the economy of the occupied North of Cyprus and on the on-going negotiations for resolution of the Cyprus problem.

Whether Greece defaults on its government debt or not will have a considerable impact on the already battered Cyprus economy. Greek companies and banks operate in Cyprus, as do some of Cyprus’ leading banks in Greece. If Greece suffers, Cyprus is not far from following suit, especially given its large and cumbersome public sector which reduces its flexibility.

In the midst of the property market turbulence, the RICS Cyprus has announced the creation of its property price and rent index. Whilst its importance is likely to lay on bringing transparency to the opaque property market and showing trends, its first findings indicate that Cyprus residential real estate remains considerably overpriced in some areas.

What is of importance is that developers have realised that the market will not return to where it once was. Property prices are being slashed, marketing campaigns are being launched, and there is even some new development underway with asking prices 20-40% lower than those during the peak. Lower prices are easily justified when considering that land prices rose by 600% during the past decade, and thus there was a hefty profit from land appreciation alone at the peak of the boom. In time, individuals will also realise that prices are not where they think/hope and the market will start correcting it self as they lower their asking prices as well.

Cyprus Economy

• The government announced that in 2009 public deficit rocketed to €1bn, or 6% of GDP. Moreover, public debt is expected to reach 55,2% of GDP.
• The Government has raised €1bn by issuing 10 year bonds which will carry a coupon of 4,683%. It aims to raise a total of €2.5bn by issuing long-term bonds on international markets to finance public needs for 2010.
• Eurostat announced that unemployment in Cyprus reached 6,2% in November, up from 6,1% in October and 3,7% in November 2008. Construction was hit the hardest, followed by public administration, trade, hotels and restaurants, real estate and business activities, manufacturing and newcomers to the labor market.
• With reference to the tourism industry, the first shots of a massive new holiday price war were fired including up to 20% off some trips for next summer to get more Britons abroad with Turkey set to become the most popular destination for British tourists in 2010. The implications of the price war now being waged in the UK for Cyprus is particularly significant, considering that the UK supplies more than 50% of tourists to the island and generates just under half of all foreign exchange revenue from tourism.
• Tourism arrivals for all of 2009 are set to register a 12% decline to 2.11 mln from 2.4 mln arrivals in 2008. Tourism revenue, however, is set to register a 15% decline in 2009 to around EUR 1.5 bln from EUR 1.79 bln in 2008. In the event that UK travel giants secure a 20% decline in prices from Cypriot hoteliers to maintain bookings at 2009 levels, then overall tourism revenue will record another 15% decline in 2010, forcing more hoteliers to close shop with disastrous consequences for the Cyprus economy.

Cyprus Property Market

• The Court of Appeal in England gave its ruling on Orams Vs Apostolides case. In short, the Court decided in favour of Mr Apostolides, with the Orams ordered to demolish the villa which they had constructed on his land in Lapithos, in the occupied North, compensate Mr Apostolides for using unlawfully using his property, and return the property to its legal owner. Please see the decision of the Court of Appeal in England.
• The Land Registry announced that registered sales contracts fell by 44% in 2009, despite a noticeable increase in transactions during the last few months. Total transactions numbered 8.170 compared to 14.667 in 2008, 21.255 in 2007, and 16.953 and in 2006. Nicosia recorded a decrease of 31% on the year, with Limassol, Famagusta, Pafos and Larnanca recording -38%, -58%, -52% and -49% respectively.
• Due to the decrease in the number of buyers from the UK and Russia, local developers have started revising their marketing strategies. They are now focus on markets such as Saudi Arabia and Iran, offer property discounts and “investment packages” (guaranteed income, etc), and take part in more international exhibitions. However, as long as the land values remain high, it would be highly difficult to attract foreign investments.
• The first Cyprus property price index was launched by the RICS (Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors) Cyprus and the Association of Quantity Surveyors. The index is based on methodology developed by the University of Reading, UK, will be produced on a quarterly basis, and covers all types of properties in the non-occupied part of the island. The first findings of the index and the methodology can be found here.

Global Property Market

• Property consultancy firm CBRE, announced that more than €25.7bn of property transactions were completed in the fourth quarter of 2009, an increase of 42% on the previous quarter and double the level traded in the first two quarters of the year.
• UK house prices continued to rise, with the price of an average home at £200,000, higher by 0,6% compared to the same period last year. Whilst this is considered as a sign for price stabilization, the small number of property transactions makes any data and conclusion highly questionable.
• Property sales in China jumped 75.5% to $644bn last year, as record new loans boosted buying. The sales data followed the announcement that December property prices rose by 7.8%, the fastest pace in 18 months, adding urgency to government efforts to rein in speculation.
• Property transactions in Greece were 50% lower in 2009 were than 2008, the Bank of Greece announced. All property types were affected, with new homes with an area of over 100sqm and holiday homes particularly hard hit.
• European economists believe that this year is going to be disastrous for Greece’s economy. Despite the reforms of the public and private sectors pushed forward, public debt is expected to rise from 113% to more than 120% of GDP and budget deficit to circa 13% of GDP.
• The burden of Europe’s most difficult decision this year is likely to fall on Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor, who will have to decide whether to rescue Greece to forestall a crisis throughout the currency club. If Greece defaults, other countries with high government debts, e.g. Portugal, Spain and Italy, would face dramatically higher borrowing costs.
• Leading banks active in central and Eastern Europe expect the region to start to recover from the economic crisis in 2010. UniCredit of Italy plans to open 100 branches across central and Eastern Europe; Austria’s Raiffeisen International is launching an internet-based banking service; and Erste, also of Austria, is opening 70 branches in Romania.
• In November unemployment across Eurozone increased to more than 10%, the higher level of the last 11 years. The highest unemployment rate was reported in Latvia (22,3%) and Spain (19,4%), while the lowest in Holland (3,9%) and Austria (5,5%).
 

Cost of Debt

  GBP LIBOR EURIBOR
  21/12/2009 One year ago 21/11/2009 One year ago
3 month 0.62% 2.16% 0.67% 2.08%
6 month 0.84% 2.34% 0.97% 2.16%
12 month 1.26% 2.48% 1.23% 2.26%
2 year 1.75% 2.11% 1.67% 2.27%
3 year 2.36% 2.42% 2.04% 2.56%
5 year 3.13% 2.98% 2.60% 3.01%
10 year 3.92% 3.75% 3.41% 3.71%
15 year 4.21% 4.04% 3.77% 4.00%
30 year 4.09% 3.69% 3.80% 3.68%

Articles

Christmas Time - Always

Antonis Loizou, FRICS 27/12/2009

Christmas Time - AlwaysDuring these difficult times that we are experiencing and the non positive prospects of the year 2010, for all of us, who deal in real estate, either professionals / developers / investors / buyers and others, Christmas appears to be a welcoming brake. It will give us time to relax, forget for a short period of time our difficulties and hope for the best in the future. Wining and dining, getting together with friends and family, is a way out of this situation, but how long will this last? Nevertheless a short holiday from this situation will give us all, time to consider our circumstances for the future. We wish to submit a positive note and with special ...   Read Article

 

 The Greek Economy & the Cyprus Property Market

Antonis Loizou, FRICS 20/12/2009

The Greek Economy & the Cyprus Property MarketWe have noted that last week the international statistics of the Greek economy, have been downgraded, causing a lot of concern to the Greek people, as well as to the eurozone. The Greek economy has dropped from the one fast developing economies in the eurozone, to the near bottom of the eurozone, due to the global economic recession and bad management from the recent local Government(s). It appears that in Greece there are no reliable statistics and every Government prepares its own to suite voters and public opinion. However the eurozone members do not trust Greece any more, notwithstanding the fact that the new ...     Read Article

 

The Progression of Democracy - Titles

Antonis Loizou, FRICS 12/12/2009

The Progression of Democracy - TitlesIt is very interesting to report on the way forward regarding the discussions that are taking place now on the title deed issue. The Ministry of the Interior has embarked in an unknown so far procedure in Cyprus, by preparing 4 draft proposals covering all aspects of the procedure (town planning laws, building laws, Lands Office laws etc) in an effort to invite all sorts of related associations, business chambers etc to offer their views/suggestions how to improve the system. A site has been set up and everybody has the chance to offer electronically (in addition) their views. In addition an open dialogue is taking place between the political parties, so... Read Article

 

Title Deeds & Mortgages

Antonis Loizou, FRICS 6/12/2009

Title Deeds & MortgagesThe consultations between the various sectors of the profession (regarding the problem of non issue of the title deeds), are proceeding, at a satisfactory rate, both with the numerous associations as well as with the political parties/Ministry of the Interior. In a recent meeting that took place at the Ministry on the 26.11.09, numerous ideas were placed on the table, how to speed up the process further and to his credit, the Minister of the Interior (Mr Sylikiotis), who was presiding the meeting, adopted a number of the suggestions made ...                  Read Article
 
General Information on Housing

Antonis Loizou, FRICS 29/11/2009

General Information on HousingFrom time to time we get specific queries regarding property matters most of which are answered directly and through the Q+A column. In this article we will refer to some of the points which are of a general appeal and which were not addressed before.                       Read Article
 

Our News

Μελέτη: Εξασφαλίσεις Δανείων & Υποθήκες

5/10/2009

Μελέτη: Εξασφαλίσεις Δανείων & ΥποθήκεςΣκοπός της μελέτης είναι η καταγραφή των διαφόρων επιλογών που έχουν σήμερα οι χρηματοδοτικοί οργανισμοί στην εξασφάλιση των δανείων τους και στις επικρατούσες μεθόδους εκποίησης της ακίνητης υποθηκευμένης ιδιοκτησίας.

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Reuters: Επέκταση στην Κύπρο με Αντώνη Λοΐζου

12/12/2009

Reuters: Επέκταση στην Κύπρο με Αντώνη ΛοΐζουΤο γραφείο μας έχει διοριστεί αποκλειστικός σύμβουλος ακινήτων στην Κύπρο για το πολυεθνικό ειδησεογραφικό πρακτορείο Thomson Reuters. Σε συνεργασία με τον συμβουλευτικό οίκο ακινήτων Cushman & Wakefield, στο εκ των μεγαλύτερων γραφείων παροχής συμβουλών για ακίνητα στο τόπο μας έχει ανατεθεί το έργο της μεταστέγασης των κεντρικών γραφείων της εταιρείας.                                                                                                        Περισσότερα

Governmental proposal on the title deed issue

16/12/2009

Governmental proposal on the title deed issueMr. Αntonis Loizou participated in an open discussion regarding the Governmental proposal on the title deed issue. Mr. Loizou who represented the Cyprus Chamber of Commerce and Industry submitted practical measures on how to speed up the process.                                Read More

Σεμινάρια σε Ελεκτές / Λογιστές

20/12/2009

Σεμινάρια σε Ελεκτές / ΛογιστέςMr. Το γραφείο μας παρέθεσε σειρά σεμιναρίων στους συνεταίρους των ελεγκτικών γραφείων KPMG, PWC, Deloitte κατά τη διάρκεια του μηνός Νοεμβρίου, 2009. Τα θέματα που συζητήθηκαν υπό μορφή ερωτήσεων / απαντήσεων ήταν κυρίως:                                               Περισσότερα

In the News

Ο κ. Αντώνης Λοΐζου ήταν φιλοξενούμενος του κ. Μαυρίδη στην εκπομπή του ΡΙΚ-1 "Τηλεοικονομία" στις 18 Δεκεμβρίου 2009 σε μια συζήτηση για την παρούσα κατάσταση στην Κυπριακή αγορά ακινήτων

 

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Ο  κ. Αντώνης Λοΐζου ήταν φιλοξενούμενος του κ. Μαυρίδη στην εκπομπή του ΡΙΚ-1 "Τηλεοικονομία".

Ο  κ. Αντώνης Λοΐζου ήταν φιλοξενούμενος του κ. Μαυρίδη στην εκπομπή του ΡΙΚ-1 "Τηλεοικονομία".

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Newsletter archive:
Issue 1 - April 2009 | Issue 2 - May 2009 | Issue 3 - June 2009 | Issue 4 - July 2009 | Issue 5 - August 2009
Issue 6 - September 2009 | Issue 7 - October 2009 | Issue 8 - November 2009 | Issue 9 - December 2009

Antonis Loizou & Associates
Head Office | 68A Kennedy Avenue | 1076 | Nicosia | Cyprus
Tel: +357 22 477 600 | Fax +357 22 428 681
www.aloizou.com.cy | www.aloizou.ro | www.aloizou.ru
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